← Paradox AMBStore Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at Paradox AMBStore Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6%
avg ELO +5.5 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1323
· median 1323
· range 1323–1323
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1310
Q3 1368
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 21.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 10.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.2% | +17.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Water Silvie | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
